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Mapping the Global Future
Mapping the Global Future
Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project.
Source:
CIA. Washington D.C., December 2004.
Mapping the Global
Future is the third unclassified report prepared by the National
Intelligence Council (NIC) in the past seven years that takes a long-term view
of the future. The National Intelligence Council, as a center of strategic
thinking and over-the-horizon analysis for the US Government, takes this as one
of its key challenges.
As with the earlier NIC efforts — Global
Trends 2010 and
Global Trends 2015 — the project's primary goal is to provide US policymakers
with a view of how the world developments could evolve, identifying
opportunities and potentially negative developments that might warrant policy
action. We also hope this paper stimulates a broader discussion of value to
educational and policy institutions at home and abroad.
We consulted experts from around the world in
a series of regional conferences to offer a truly global perspective. We
organized conferences on five continents to solicit the views of foreign experts
on the prospects for their regions over the next 15 years.
Significantly, the NIC 2020 Project employed
information technology and analytic tools unavailable in earlier NIC efforts. We
created an interactive Web site which contained several tools including a
"hands-on" computer simulation that allows novice and expert alike to develop
their own scenarios. This "International
Futures" model is now available to the public to explore.
The entire process, from start to finish,
lasted about a year and involved more than a thousand people. We appreciate the
time and effort that each contributed to this innovative project.
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